Prediction by the Numbers
Season 45 Episode 6 | 53m 31sVideo has Closed Captions
Discover why some predictions succeed and others fail as experts forecast the future.
Predictions underlie nearly every aspect of our lives, from sports, politics, and medical decisions to the morning commute. With the explosion of digital technology, the internet, and “big data,” the science of forecasting is flourishing. But why do some predictions succeed spectacularly while others fail abysmally? And how can we find meaningful patterns amidst chaos and uncertainty?
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National corporate funding for NOVA is provided by Draper. Major funding for NOVA is provided by the David H. Koch Fund for Science, the Corporation for Public Broadcasting and PBS...
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Prediction by the Numbers
Season 45 Episode 6 | 53m 31sVideo has Closed Captions
Predictions underlie nearly every aspect of our lives, from sports, politics, and medical decisions to the morning commute. With the explosion of digital technology, the internet, and “big data,” the science of forecasting is flourishing. But why do some predictions succeed spectacularly while others fail abysmally? And how can we find meaningful patterns amidst chaos and uncertainty?
Problems playing video? | Closed Captioning Feedback
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Prediction by the Numbers Prologue
Video has Closed Captions
Preview: S45 Ep6 | 1m 12s | Discover why some predictions succeed and others fail as experts forecast the future. (1m 12s)
Video has Closed Captions
Clip: S45 Ep6 | 4m 12s | Science's most important number has its origins in a British experiment involving tea. (4m 12s)
Video has Closed Captions
Clip: S45 Ep6 | 3m 38s | Crowds hold a predictive power that can have startling accuracy. (3m 38s)
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National corporate funding for NOVA is provided by Draper. Major funding for NOVA is provided by the David H. Koch Fund for Science, the Corporation for Public Broadcasting and PBS...